Modeling the Transmission Dynamics of the Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus in Humans

Authors

  • Salisu Usaini University of Pretoria
  • Adamu Shitu Hassan* University of Pretoria
  • Salisu M Garba University of Pretoria
  • Jean M-S Lubuma (Late Submission) University of Pretoria

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.11145/561

Abstract

Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (MERS-CoV) isВ  a novel respiratory disease, reported in the year 2012, initially localize to Middle East countries, with a high potential for transmission via close contacts amongst families and health care workers [1].В  In this study, we formulate and fully analysizeВ  a mathematical model that assess the impact of quarantining and isolation strategies in controlling the disease. Analysis of the the model shows that the MERS-COV can be control if a certain threshold can be brought to a value less than unity [3]. In the absence of vaccine or treatment, these strategies have proved to be effective in containing the disease [2]. Numerical simulations are used to support the results.

Author Biographies

Salisu Usaini, University of Pretoria

Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics

Adamu Shitu Hassan*, University of Pretoria

Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics

Salisu M Garba, University of Pretoria

Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics,

Senior Lecturer

Jean M-S Lubuma (Late Submission), University of Pretoria

Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics,

Professor

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Published

2015-06-15

Issue

Vol. 2 No. 1 (2015)

Section

Conference Contributions (Pretoria)

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